Eastern Michigan — 2026 schedule & results record 4-5 · model's picks 6-2 so far
Proj rating -8.7 · SOS -9.4 · Mean wins 5.4 · Picked 4-8 · Vegas 5.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fri 09/04 | San José State | home | L 21–27 | -1.5 ✗ | +9.7 | 71% | W ✗ | |
| 1 | Sat 08/29 | Sacramento State | home | W 28–17 | -9.25 ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Michigan State | away | L 7–35 | +17.5 ✗ | -8.4 | 31% | L ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Wisconsin | away | L 10–54 | +23.5 ✗ | -13.2 | 22% | L ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Lindenwood | home | W 29–3 | -24.25 ✓ | +22.1 | 90% | W ✓ | |
| 5 | Sat 10/03 | Massachusetts | away | W 38–14 | +5.75 ✓ | +17.6 | 84% | W ✓ | |
| 6 | Sat 10/10 | Akron | away | W 25–23 | -5 ✗ | -3.4 | 42% | L ✗ | |
| 7 | Sat 10/17 | Toledo | home | L 14–34 | +7.25 ✗ | -10.0 | 28% | L ✓ |
Toledo -5 · WIN +27 |
| 8 | Sat 10/24 | Ohio | away | L 20–24 | +11.5 ✓ | -7.3 | 34% | L ✓ | |
| 10 | Wed 11/04 | Central Michigan | neutral | — | — | -1.7 | 46% | L | |
| 12 | Tue 11/17 | Western Michigan | away | — | — | -11.6 | 24% | L | |
| 13 | Tue 11/24 | Kent State | home | — | — | +7.5 | 66% | W |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.